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Practical stock researchModule 5, lesson 22 of 23

Case study: a debt-funded group in crisis (IL&FS, 2018)

How short-term borrowing for long-term projects and a complex group led to the IL&FS defaults of 2018, and what followed in India's credit markets.

Time
6 min read
Level
Advanced
Updated

In this lesson

  • Summarise the documented events of the IL&FS crisis in 2018.
  • Explain the risk of funding long-term assets with short-term borrowing.
  • Explain how complex group structures make debt and risk harder to assess.
  • Explain why high credit ratings did not prevent default, and the wider effects on credit markets.

Builds on

On this page
  1. In simple terms
  2. The structure
  3. The mismatch
  4. The events of 2018
  5. Wider effects
  6. Why high ratings did not protect investors
  7. Lessons for investors
  8. Why it matters
  9. Limitations
  10. Common mistakes
  11. Try it yourself

In simple terms

Infrastructure Leasing & Financial Services (IL&FS) was a large group that financed and developed infrastructure in India, such as roads, power and urban projects. In 2018, group companies began missing payments on their debts. Within weeks, credit ratings collapsed, the government stepped in to replace the board, and the shock spread through India's credit markets.

This case study uses the company's own account of events, public statements by the government and widely reported facts. It is studied for its lessons about debt and group structures.

The structure

The group was large and complex. A government statement at the time referred to 169 group companies for 2017-18, including subsidiaries, joint ventures and associates. Complexity of this kind makes it hard for outsiders to see where debt sits, how cash moves between companies, and which entities support which, as the group structures lesson explains.

The mismatch

Infrastructure projects take years to build and pay back over decades. Part of the group's funding came from short-term borrowing, such as commercial paper and inter-corporate deposits, which must be repaid or refinanced within months.

Worked example: A made-up rollover problem

A company builds a toll road that will earn about ₹100 crore a year for 20 years. It funds ₹1,000 crore of the cost with 90-day commercial paper, planning to roll it over every quarter.

As long as lenders keep buying the new paper, all is well. If they refuse, perhaps because of rumours or a downgrade, ₹1,000 crore falls due within three months, while the road earns only ₹25 crore a quarter. The company cannot pay, however valuable the road may be over 20 years.

This asset-liability mismatch is why confidence matters so much for borrowers that fund long-term assets with short-term money, as the interest coverage lesson's discussion of debt risk suggests.

The events of 2018

WhenWhat happened
August and September 2018Group companies missed payments on borrowings, including commercial paper
September 2018Credit ratings, which had been at high investment grade, were cut to default ("D")
30 September 2018The Ministry of Corporate Affairs ordered an investigation by the Serious Fraud Investigation Office
1 October 2018On the government's petition, the National Company Law Tribunal suspended the board and appointed new directors

The government said the group was struggling to service about ₹91,000 crore of debt. The new board pursued a long process of selling assets and resolving group companies.

Wider effects

  • Mutual funds holding IL&FS debt had to mark it down, hurting investors in debt funds that had seemed safe.
  • Short-term funding markets tightened, particularly for non-bank finance companies that relied on commercial paper.
  • Credit rating agencies faced scrutiny; SEBI later penalised several agencies over their ratings of IL&FS.

Why high ratings did not protect investors

Ratings are opinions, based on information available to the agencies, and they can change abruptly. Here, ratings moved from high investment grade to default within weeks. Investors who relied on ratings alone had little warning, as the exchange filings lesson's discussion of rating rationales suggests.

Lessons for investors

  1. Match funding to assets. Short-term debt for long-term assets creates rollover risk.
  2. Complexity hides risk. If you cannot map a group's debt and cash flows, be cautious.
  3. Ratings lag. Read the rating rationale, and look at cash flow and interest coverage yourself.
  4. Debt funds are not deposits. Credit events can cause losses in funds that seemed safe, as the equity and fixed income lesson explains.
  5. Contagion. One large default can raise funding costs for a whole sector.

Why it matters

The IL&FS crisis shows how debt structure, not just debt size, determines risk, and how quickly confidence can disappear. It matters for anyone analysing lenders, infrastructure companies, groups with many entities, or debt funds.

Limitations

This summary relies on the company's public account, government statements and widely reported facts. Investigations and resolution continued for years, and this lesson does not cover their findings or outcomes. Hindsight simplifies a complicated sequence.

Common mistakes

  • Relying on credit ratings alone.
  • Ignoring how debt is structured, short versus long term.
  • Treating complex groups as if they were single companies.
  • Assuming debt funds cannot lose money.

Try it yourself

  1. For a company with significant debt, find how much matures within one year and how that compares with its cash and operating cash flow.
  2. Read a credit rating rationale for its debt and note the agency's main concerns.
  3. For a group company, list its main subsidiaries and where the debt sits.

Key takeaways

  • IL&FS was a large infrastructure finance and development group with well over a hundred group companies, including subsidiaries, joint ventures and associates.
  • It funded long-term infrastructure projects partly with short-term borrowing. When lenders stopped rolling over that borrowing, the group could not pay.
  • In August and September 2018, group companies missed payments. Credit ratings were cut to default levels in September, having been at high investment grade shortly before.
  • On 1 October 2018, on the government's petition, the National Company Law Tribunal suspended the board and appointed a new one. The government said the group was struggling to service about ₹91,000 crore of debt.
  • The defaults spread stress to mutual funds and other lenders, especially non-bank finance companies that relied on short-term borrowing.

Check your understanding

Why is funding a 20-year toll road with 90-day commercial paper risky?

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Terms used in this lesson

Credit risk
The risk that a borrower fails to pay interest or repay a loan in full.
Commercial paper
Short-term unsecured borrowing by companies, usually repaid within a year, often within a few months.
Asset-liability mismatch
Funding long-term assets with short-term borrowing, so that debts fall due long before the assets produce enough cash to repay them.

References

  1. Significant developments post 2018, Infrastructure Leasing & Financial Services Limited. The company's own account of defaults in 2018-19, the September 2018 downgrade to D, the SFIO probe and the NCLT orders of October 2018.

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This lesson is general education, not investment advice. Examples use made-up or clearly dated figures to explain ideas; they are not recommendations. Read the disclaimer.