Macroeconomics and financial marketsModule 1, lesson 2 of 16
Interest rates
Interest as the price of money, nominal and real rates, how banks set loan and deposit rates, and how rates change company profits and share valuations.
In this lesson
- Explain interest as the price of borrowing money and the reward for lending it.
- Calculate a real interest rate from a nominal rate and inflation.
- Describe how banks set lending and deposit rates.
- Show how higher rates reduce company profits and the value of future cash flows.
Builds on
- Measuring inflation in IndiaReal interest rates subtract the inflation measured in that lesson.
- Nominal and real returnsThe same nominal-to-real adjustment applies to interest rates.
On this page
In simple terms
An interest rate is the price of money. A borrower pays it for the use of someone else's money; a saver or lender earns it for giving up the use of their own. Like any price, it reflects supply and demand, the risk of not being repaid, expected inflation, and the policy of the central bank.
Interest rates reach almost everything: home loans, deposits, company borrowing, government debt, and the value investors put on shares.
Nominal and real rates
The nominal rate is the rate quoted. The real rate adjusts for inflation, showing the gain in buying power, as the nominal and real returns lesson explains.
| Deposit rate | 7% |
|---|---|
| Inflation | 5% |
| Real rate: (1.07 ÷ 1.05) − 1 | about 1.9% |
When inflation is higher than the deposit rate, the real rate is negative: savers lose buying power even though their balance grows.
How banks set rates
A bank's lending rate is roughly built from:
- Its cost of funds: what it pays depositors and other lenders.
- Its own costs of running the business.
- A margin for profit.
- A premium for credit risk: riskier borrowers pay more.
The RBI's policy rate influences the cost of funds, directly for loans linked to it and gradually for others, as the RBI monetary policy lesson explains. Longer-term rates, such as those on bonds, also reflect expected future rates and inflation, as the bond yields lesson explains.
How rates affect companies
Interest costs. A company with debt pays more when rates rise.
Worked example: A made-up borrower
A company earns operating profit of ₹100 crore and has ₹500 crore of floating-rate debt.
| Interest at 8%: 500 × 0.08 | ₹40 crore |
|---|---|
| Profit before tax at 8% | ₹60 crore |
| Interest at 10%: 500 × 0.10 | ₹50 crore |
| Profit before tax at 10% | ₹50 crore |
| Fall in profit before tax | about 17% |
A 2-point rise in rates cut profit by a sixth. A company with no debt would be unaffected on this line. The debt-to-equity lesson shows why leverage magnifies such effects.
Demand. Higher rates make loans for homes, cars and machinery more expensive, slowing spending in rate-sensitive industries.
Valuation. A share's value rests on future profits, discounted at a rate that includes the return available on safer investments. When rates rise, future profits are worth less today.
Worked example: A made-up valuation
A company is expected to pay ₹10 per share every year indefinitely. Investors require a 10% return; if rates rise, they require 12%.
| Value at a 10% required return: 10 ÷ 0.10 | ₹100 |
|---|---|
| Value at a 12% required return: 10 ÷ 0.12 | about ₹83 |
| Fall in value | about 17% |
Nothing about the business changed; only the rate used to value its cash.
Companies whose profits lie mostly far in the future, such as fast-growing ones, are usually the most sensitive, as the discounted cash flow lesson explains.
Why lower rates are not always good news
Rate cuts lower borrowing costs and raise valuations, all else equal. But all else is rarely equal:
- Rates are often cut because the economy is weakening, which hurts profits.
- Banks can earn thinner margins when rates fall, depending on how quickly loan and deposit rates adjust.
- Savers who live on interest income lose.
- Markets react to cuts compared with expectations: a cut that was fully expected may move prices little, as the expectations and surprises lesson explains.
Why it matters
Interest rates link the economy to every investment. They change what companies pay, what customers can afford, what savers earn and what investors will pay for future profits. Understanding the links helps explain why markets watch inflation and central bank decisions so closely.
Limitations
The examples isolate one effect at a time. In reality, rates, inflation, growth and expectations move together, and the overall effect on a company or the market depends on all of them. Different companies have very different sensitivities.
Common mistakes
- Ignoring inflation when comparing interest rates.
- Assuming rate cuts always lift share prices.
- Forgetting that debt-heavy companies feel rate changes most.
- Treating the policy rate as the rate on every loan.
Try it yourself
- Find the interest rate on a bank deposit and the latest CPI inflation rate, and calculate the real rate.
- For a company you follow, find its debt and interest cost in the annual report, and estimate the effect of a 1-point rise in rates on its profit.
- Use the formula value = payment ÷ required return to see how much a fixed payment's value changes when the required return moves from 8% to 9%.
Key takeaways
- An interest rate is the price of money, paid by borrowers and earned by lenders and savers.
- The real interest rate is the nominal rate adjusted for inflation. It shows what a saver actually gains in buying power.
- Banks set loan rates from their cost of funds, their costs and a premium for the borrower's credit risk. Policy rates influence all of these.
- Higher rates raise companies' interest costs and lower the present value of future profits, so share prices often fall when rates rise unexpectedly.
- Lower rates are not always good for shares. Rates are often cut because the economy is weakening, and some businesses, such as banks, can earn less.
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Terms used in this lesson
- Interest rate
- The price of money, paid by borrowers and earned by savers and lenders, usually expressed as a percentage a year.
- Real interest rate
- An interest rate after allowing for inflation. It shows the gain in buying power.
- Inflation
- The general rise in prices over time, which reduces how much a given amount of money can buy.
- Interest-rate risk
- The risk that a bond or debt fund falls in value because interest rates rise.
References
- Reserve Bank of India, Reserve Bank of India. The Reserve Bank of India publishes policy rates and data on bank lending and deposit rates.
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This lesson is general education, not investment advice. Examples use made-up or clearly dated figures to explain ideas; they are not recommendations. Read the disclaimer.